{"id":2724,"date":"2025-12-07T13:30:21","date_gmt":"2025-12-07T13:30:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/07\/active-hurricane-season-still-expected-despite-tweak-to-csu-forecast-2\/"},"modified":"2025-12-07T13:30:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-07T13:30:21","slug":"active-hurricane-season-still-expected-despite-tweak-to-csu-forecast-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/07\/active-hurricane-season-still-expected-despite-tweak-to-csu-forecast-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cActive\u201d Hurricane Season Still Expected, Despite Tweak to CSU Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/43411564730_1fbed5bab6_b.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"654\" height=\"550\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6688 lazyload\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 654px) 100vw, 654px\" data-src=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/43411564730_1fbed5bab6_b.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/43411564730_1fbed5bab6_b.jpg 654w, https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/43411564730_1fbed5bab6_b-300x252.jpg 300w\"><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Recent developments in the atmosphere over the Caribbean Sea have led researchers at Colorado State University (CSU) to make slight improvements to their hurricane forecast for the 2025 Atlantic-basin season, in an <a href=\"https:\/\/email.axioshq.theinstitutes.org\/c\/eJwczUFywyAMQNHTwM4eIYGBBYtufI2MDHLNNBOnRun0-J30AP-_Vqhmgc1KcTGg8xES2aOQVJRMLuWFsojHxdXIQmEBXqDuthcEDBAdOEcOaV5SbJQipRAYdp-NB_7t5zi-Zz2kP4Z2famM-bw-7b0cqs9h6MPganDV63z2yve5nvdzKKvM0l4G1_W8pPJQg-vbmyDOz7bbqwzhx5fx0Hv_Pw55tFtvJdOGzvl9wrrj5DnDlDm0iTdMhClw3TerMvT2LopeL7E_Bf8CAAD__2czT7Q\">update<\/a> published Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>Triple-I non-resident scholar <a href=\"https:\/\/email.axioshq.theinstitutes.org\/c\/eJyMkbvO1DAQhZ8mbtCs7PG9SIGEVqKnR-N45o8hSpbYy8L_9CgS9LTnoqOjr852yayL4tlEj8ajs0ZxbaMd-9dWZ0YvFgkBk0_gtLZQUDJYLSYnjJadqHX2WVyRYkm7nLkGNsXlpGu0VHwkp9qMGr2ORhurNcYblxR9CsjRONF1mZymX-3o64_bWLntfbTxHNxvx_mmtnkd49En-3HC-4T31-t1a61d3oR3KsdzwLNPeN-PHU7urfI-oC_rsdF56fWEx9o2-L4d473QsqrjfKO9vdO_o5pyMl4CBAoeHEcDJEuA4lG8qSFQyeqcv7FInZz-u6467_WqB6aaxAaozi7gtI1AQSxkh6na4GK2TnU-G_crvlTjSzYektECzlGEUqWAl0gJS3UiWY35y9keG8PnD5-obb_V-D8cP2f8EwAA__83jo0h\">Phil Klotzbach<\/a>, Ph.D., a senior research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at CSU, and the CSU TC-RAMS research team are now predicting 16 total named storms through the end of the year, a small drop from their original forecast of 17.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"> <iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"2025 Hurricane Forecast July\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/nzi1yCHUxVk?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe> <\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>\u201cThe primary reason for the slight decrease in our outlook is both observed and predicted high levels of Caribbean wind shear,\u201d Klotzbach said. \u201cHigh levels of Caribbean shear in June and July are typically associated with less active hurricane seasons.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Klotzbach warned, however, that peak hurricane season \u2013 which typically occurs from mid-August through late October \u2013 could still be very active, despite current atmospheric conditions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe subtropical eastern Atlantic and portions of the tropical Atlantic are warmer than normal,\u201d he said. \u201cThe current Atlantic sea surface temperature pattern is fairly similar to what we typically observe in July prior to active Atlantic hurricane seasons.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Learn More:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/email.axioshq.theinstitutes.org\/c\/eJyMkU-rFDEQxD_N5CK9dDr_D3MQZMG7d-lMut9EltnnJM9VP70sPPHq9VdVFEW11W1FsBpZbQpkA3lnjbQ--_342tsqFNQRE1AOGTyig0pawKHakik58Wr2VUttTjPWglQsCXFWTm3TjOxaKqavhBQwWbQOkdJFak4hR5JkvWLbFo_8s9_H_v0yd-nHmH2-TRmX-_libus-5-tY3MeFrgtdH4_Hpff-1Ba6Km8TxuTZx-zbOxj_yID97Tz7xocMcz9f-Oi_-e9A5JJt0AiRYwAvyQLrFqEG0mBbjFyLOddvotoWj--tZsjRnvEo3LK6CM27DTy6BBzVQfGUm4s-FefNkLPLeNq3ZkMtNkC2qOA9J6hNKwRNnKk2r1rMXL-c_fUm8PnDJ-63X2b-3w0_VvoTAAD__z3lixA\">Triple-I Facts + Statistics: Hurricanes<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/jif-2025-federal-cuts-imperil-resilience-efforts\/\">JIF 2025: Federal Cuts Imperil Resilience Efforts<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/louisiana-senator-seeks-resumption-of-resilience-investment-program\/\">Louisiana Senator Seeks Resumption of Resilience Investment Program<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/bric-funding-loss-underscores-needfor-collective-actionon-climate-resilience\/\">BRIC Funding Loss Underscores Need for Collective Action on Climate Resilience<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/resilience-investments-paid-off-in-florida-during-hurricane-milton\/\">Resilience Investments Paid Off in Florida During Hurricane Milton<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/hurricane-helene-highlights-inlandflood-protection-gap\/\">Hurricane Helene Highlights Inland Flood Protection Gap<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/fema-highlights-roleof-modern-roofsin-preventinghurricane-damage\/\">FEMA Highlights Role of Modern Roofs in Preventing Hurricane Damage<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/weather-balloons-rolein-readiness-resilience\/\">Weather Balloons\u2019 Role in Readiness, Resilience<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/insuranceindustryblog.iii.org\/climatetech-connect-confronts-climate-peril-from-washington-stage\/\">ClimateTech Connect Confronts Climate Peril From Washington Stage<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recent developments in the atmosphere over the Caribbean Sea have led researchers at Colorado State University (CSU) to make slight improvements to their hurricane forecast for the 2025 Atlantic-basin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-insurance-flood"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2724"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2724\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/egocene.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}